Key takeaways
XRP continues to trade below its 50-day EMA, keeping the short-term trend bearish.
Momentum indicators are improving, with the MACD turning more positive and the RSI rising to around 55.
A break above $1.15 could strengthen the recovery, while failure to do so may trigger another pullback.
Ripple’s native token, XRP, remained under pressure on Thursday, extending its corrective phase as it traded below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Although the cryptocurrency has rebounded from recent lows, buyers continue to face strong resistance that has limited the recovery.
The current technical setup suggests that while bullish momentum is gradually improving, XRP has yet to confirm a sustained trend reversal.
50-Day EMA continues to cap upside
XRP is currently trading below the 50-day EMA at $1.1458, while remaining well beneath the 200-day EMA at $1.4425.
These moving averages continue to act as significant resistance levels, preventing the token from building stronger upward momentum.
Recent price action indicates that buyers have successfully defended lower support zones, but rallies have repeatedly stalled before reclaiming key technical levels.
Despite the broader corrective trend, technical indicators suggest that buying pressure is slowly returning.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains on an upward trajectory, with both the MACD line and signal line advancing while the histogram continues expanding into positive territory. This indicates that bullish momentum is strengthening.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed to approximately 55, placing it above the neutral 50 level. The reading suggests buyers are gradually regaining control without the market entering overbought conditions.
Together, these indicators point to improving market sentiment, although confirmation of a sustained recovery will require a breakout above key resistance.
Key Resistance Levels
The first major obstacle for XRP is the 50-day EMA at $1.1458. Just above that sits the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent decline from $1.2935 to $1.0092, located around $1.1514.
A decisive move above this resistance zone would improve the short-term outlook and could encourage additional buying interest.
If XRP fails to break higher, traders will likely monitor several important support areas:
38.2% Fibonacci retracement: $1.1178
Broken ascending trendline: Around $1.0937
23.6% Fibonacci retracement: $1.0763
Recent swing low: $1.0092
Holding above these support levels would help preserve the current recovery structure, while a break below them could expose XRP to further downside.
XRP remains in a cautious recovery phase, supported by improving momentum indicators but constrained by significant technical resistance.
A successful breakout above the $1.1458–$1.1514 resistance zone would provide the first meaningful signal that bulls are regaining control. Until then, the token is likely to remain in a consolidation phase, with traders watching whether support around $1.12 can withstand renewed selling pressure.
