Key takeaways
While momentum indicators suggest downside pressure is easing, ETH remains trapped below multiple key moving averages.
Until buyers reclaim resistance levels above $1,800, the broader technical outlook remains cautious, with support around $1,741 likely to play a crucial role in determining the next major move.
ETH Open Interest falls to a multi-week low
Ethereum (ETH) derivatives markets remain subdued following weeks of price weakness, reflecting a cautious stance among leveraged traders.
After ETH fell below the $1,800 level, futures open interest dropped sharply, reaching 13.64 million ETH on Sunday, its lowest level since early May.
Open interest saw a modest recovery on Monday after Ethereum rebounded above $1,700, but overall participation remains significantly lower than recent highs.
Open interest represents the total value of outstanding futures contracts. Since May 28, Ethereum futures markets have witnessed a decline of roughly 2 million ETH in open interest, highlighting a strong reduction in leveraged exposure and growing risk-off sentiment.
Funding rate data paints a similar picture of caution. Over the past two weeks, Ethereum funding rates have fluctuated between positive and negative territory, signaling a lack of clear conviction from either bulls or bears.
Funding rates are periodic payments exchanged between long and short traders in perpetual futures markets. Positive rates indicate bullish positioning, while negative rates suggest stronger bearish sentiment.
The market’s tone shifted notably after the June 5 correction, which pushed funding rates into negative territory following nearly a month of positive readings.
Although ETH has recovered modestly since then, bullish traders have struggled to regain control.
Spot-market indicators offer little evidence of aggressive accumulation. Ethereum exchange reserves have declined modestly over the past two days, reversing part of the increase recorded last week.
While falling exchange balances can sometimes indicate accumulation, the move remains too small to signal strong demand.
Ethereum price analysis: ETH trapped below key resistance
Ethereum continues to trade within a bearish short-term structure despite recent stabilization.
On the 4-hour chart, ETH remains below its 20-day EMA near $1,794, the 50-day EMA around $1,955, and the 100-day EMA near $2,108
The clustering of these moving averages above current price levels indicates that upside attempts continue to face significant resistance.
Although the broader trend remains bearish, some technical indicators suggest downside momentum may be easing.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed toward the mid-50s, indicating selling pressure is weakening but not yet signaling a bullish reversal.
For Ethereum to build a stronger recovery, bulls must reclaim several important resistance zones.
Immediate resistance at $1,794 could pave the way for an extended rally towards the $1,806 and $1,909 psychological levels.
A sustained move above these levels would significantly improve Ethereum’s outlook.
On the downside, Ethereum faces several important support areas. If the bearish trend persists, immediate support is seen at the $1,524 level, with another demand zone at $1,405.
If selling pressure intensifies and these levels fail to hold, ETH could decline toward the next significant support area near $1,156.
