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Cardano reclaims $0.250 as derivatives sentiment improves

CryptoExpert by CryptoExpert
October 12, 2026
in Market Analysis
0
Cardano reclaims $0.250 as derivatives sentiment improves
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Key takeaways

ADA’s long-to-short ratio edged above one to 1.01, indicating a slight tilt toward bullish positioning.
Funding turned positive and reached 0.0061%, with longs paying shorts.
ADA holds above its major daily EMAs, with immediate support at $0.245 and resistance at $0.299.

Cardano recovered above a key support zone on Monday, trading near $0.250 as derivatives positioning improved following last week’s 2.85% correction.

ADA remains above its major daily exponential moving averages, supporting a constructive near-term outlook. However, mixed momentum and signs of sell-side pressure suggest the recovery still faces obstacles.

Tokenmetrics

Cardano derivatives positioning turns more positive

CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for ADA rose to 1.004 on Monday, moving slightly above the neutral threshold of one.

The reading suggests longs marginally outnumber shorts within the positions or accounts tracked by the metric. The narrow margin points to a modest improvement rather than strong bullish conviction.

Cardano’s funding rate also turned positive on Sunday and increased to 0.0061% on Monday. Positive funding means long traders are paying short traders, reflecting greater demand for bullish exposure in perpetual futures.

Together, these indicators suggest sentiment has improved as ADA attempts to extend its rebound.

CryptoQuant’s summary data presents a more cautious picture. The platform flags overheating conditions in Cardano’s spot and futures markets, alongside sell-side dominance. It also identifies large whale orders in the futures market.

These signals contrast with the improving long-to-short ratio and positive funding, highlighting uneven positioning among traders.

Bullish derivatives demand alone does not establish that spot buying will be sufficient to sustain higher prices.

ADA holds above its major moving averages

At $0.250, Cardano trades above the 50-day EMA at $0.230, the 100-day EMA at $0.219, and the 200-day EMA at $0.241.

Its position above all three averages supports the broader recovery structure. The horizontal level at $0.245 provides the closest support reference.

Momentum remains moderately constructive. The Relative Strength Index stands near 54, above its neutral midpoint without indicating overbought conditions.

However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator remains marginally below zero, suggesting the rebound has yet to develop strong upward momentum.

The first downside test is $0.245, followed by the 200-day EMA near $0.241 and horizontal support at $0.236.

ADA/USD Daily Chart

A deeper pullback would bring the 50-day EMA at $0.230 and the 100-day EMA at $0.219 into focus. Below those levels, the analysis identifies rising trendline support around $0.206 and a more distant floor at $0.150.

On the upside, the next major horizontal resistance identified in the analysis is $0.299, where previous selling interest could limit an extended recovery.

Holding the nearby support band would preserve ADA’s constructive technical position, while stronger buying momentum would be needed to sustain a move toward that resistance.

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