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Is the Bitcoin Price Crash Over? When Will BTC Start Rallying

CryptoExpert by CryptoExpert
February 16, 2026
in Regulation
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Coinpedia - Fintech & Cryptocurreny News Media
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Bitcoin is showing signs of stabilization after weeks of volatility, raising a major question across the crypto market: Is the recent Bitcoin price crash finally coming to an end? Recent chart patterns suggest that the market may be entering a short-term recovery phase, although longer-term risks still remain.

Recent Bounce Points to Short-Term Strength

Gareth Soloway said that Bitcoin recorded a healthy rebound in recent sessions, forming a classic consolidation pattern after a small upward move. This structure, often described as a “bull flag,” occurs when price rises, pauses within a narrow range, and then attempts another upward push. Such formations often lead to short-term rallies, especially when buyers continue to defend nearby support zones.

The current chart structure shows Bitcoin holding steady rather than dropping sharply, indicating that selling pressure has slowed. As long as the price continues trading within this consolidation range, the probability favors a gradual upward move in the near term.

Possible Relief Rally Targets

If the current pattern plays out fully, Bitcoin could stage a relief rally toward the $80,000 region, with an extended upside area potentially reaching $85,000, where strong resistance from previous trading activity is expected. This zone represents an area where many investors previously sold, which could again create selling pressure once price approaches it.

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Even if the market rallies into this region, it does not automatically confirm the start of a long-term bull run. Instead, it would represent a recovery phase following the recent decline, and the market would still need to prove it can sustain higher levels before a larger uptrend is confirmed.

Larger Downside Risks Still Exist

While short-term charts show improving conditions, longer-timeframe technical patterns still suggest that Bitcoin could face broader downside risks if resistance zones remain unbroken. A large head-and-shoulders structure, often associated with extended declines, remains visible on higher-timeframe charts. If this pattern eventually completes, deeper downside levels — potentially even toward the $35,000 range — cannot be ruled out.

Because of this uncertainty, many long-term investors are gradually accumulating positions instead of trying to predict the exact market bottom. This approach allows participation in potential long-term growth while managing the risk of further short-term declines.

Market Sentiment and Broader Crypto Movement

Interestingly, market sentiment across the crypto sector has been relatively weak in recent weeks, and historically such bearish conditions sometimes appear near short-term turning points. Several major altcoins, including Ethereum, Solana, and XRP, are also showing small recovery patterns, supporting the idea that the broader crypto market may be entering a temporary rebound phase.

Outlook: Recovery Signs, But Confirmation Needed

At present, the Bitcoin crash does not appear fully resolved, but early recovery signals are becoming visible. For a stronger recovery outlook, Bitcoin must successfully break above major resistance zones and hold those levels over time.

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